STAT200 Homework 5 Due Oct 3, 2014

1. Muscular dystrophy is an incurable muscle-wasting disease. If a woman has a child with

   muscular dystrophy the probability is 2/3 that she is a carrier and 1/3 that she is not a carrier.

   There is a screening test called the CK test that is positive with probability 0.7 if a woman is a

   carrier and with probability 0.1 if she is not. Toni has a son with muscular dystrophy. She takes

   the CK test. Lets use the following notation:

                 C: Toni is a carrier;
   
               NC: Toni is not a carrier;
   
               CKP: Toni gets a positive CK test result;
   
               CKN: Toni gets a negative CK test result.

   (a) Please determine the following probabilities:...