Forecasting Models
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Description
"Forecasting Models" Please respond to the following:
What is the difference between a causal model and a time- series model? Give an example of when each would be used.
Casual forecasting methods are subject to the discretion of the forecaster. There are several informal methods which do not have strict algorithms, but rather modest and unstructured guidance. One can forecast based on, for example, linear relationships. If one variable is linearly related to the other for a long enough period of time, it may be beneficial to predict such a relationship in the future. This is quite different from the aforementioned model of seasonality whose graph would more closely resemble a sine or cosine wave. The most important factor when performing this operation is using concrete and substantiated...